Nadene Goldfoot
A Democratic President for the next 4 years means a change in foreign politics. A certain naivity will return in dealing with Iran.
Remember Benjamin Netanyahu's speech in September 27, 2012 at the UN warning,
""A red line must be drawn ... on Iran's efforts to enrich uranium," he said. "Basically any bomb consists of explosive material and a mechanism to ignite it. ... In the case of Iran's plans, the gunpowder is enriched uranium. The fuse is a nuclear detonator." Netanyahu said it was far more difficult for Iran to enrich uranium than to build the fuse.
"This concern was shared by the United States and thus, in 2015, a nuclear agreement -- the Joint Comprehensive Program of Action (JCPOA) -- was made between the United States, along with Russia, China, France, Great Britain and Germany, and supposedly Iran, which never signed the deal. Ostensibly Iran would give up its pursuit of nuclear weapons and the U.S. would withdraw its economic sanctions." Evidently China is buying Iran time.
"At the time of the 2015 deal, the Obama administration warned that Iran was probably a year way from having enough nuclear material to fashion a bomb.
Now, it is reported by David Albright of the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) that until recently, Iran was no more than one or two months away from a nuclear weapons capability." Unless they are delayed, September will be a very critical month.
"An explosion at a power station in Iran’s Isfahan Province yesterday has prompted speculation about its cause. There have been a number of mysterious blasts damaging Iranian infrastructure in recent weeks." Today's temperature will go up to 102 degrees F. Can we blame the weather? I think not necessarily. Age of infrastructure? Perhaps. If so, and they are working with nuclear power, it's a dangerous environment even for them.
It has been reported that Iran has experienced several explosions. On July 9th of this year there was an explosion in Tehran. Israel was thought to be the cause of it. Israel has the most to lose; all their over 8 million lives; if Iran ever comes to the point of manufacturing a nuclear warhead on their long distance missiles. The first place they will aim it at will be Israel as their rantings and threats have promised. The second will be the United States of America. Israel has Mossad, the best spy network around, who may have been able to pull something off to compromise Iran's computers and such.
"Although the blast was dismissed by Iran as the result of faulty equipment and technical difficulties, that claim has been called into question, with speculation that Israel is behind this and earlier attacks."
Iran was working toward nuclear weapons manufacturing using the uranium enrichment permitted by the Obama 2015 agreement. The U.S. Senate was under the impression that this agreement would stop Iran's pursuit of nuclear weaponry. They never did understand Iran's fanatic zeal in being the first to wipe out Israel over the other Muslim countries which would put them in total leadership of everyone in the Middle East. The US only helped to give the Iranian Mullahs a cover up of being the leading manufacturer of nuclear weaponry and their goal.
It cannot... be a surprise that Iran is still sprinting toward deliverable nuclear weapons with the very uranium enrichment technology permitted by the 2015 agreement. While the U.S. Senate was told the deal would halt Iran's pursuit of nuclear weaponry, the deal only camouflaged the mullahs' ambitions to acquire it.
"The prospects ahead are possibly dark. A change in US administration may likely see a return to the JCPOA, an end to sanctions and maximum pressure, and an Iranian sense of having won a major struggle with the "Great Satan." That is not a prospect America's allies want to accept. The United States should not risk waiting, either."
Shahab missile already created
May 9, 2020 is when Israel was blamed for the Iranian computers to break down at their port terminal. The flow of their vessels, trucks and goods all crashed at once. They had backups for all these vehicles. What a mess!
Which brings to mind, Stuxnet. Remember that computer glitch in Iran?
Stuxnet is a malicious computer worm, first uncovered in 2010, thought to have been in development since at least 2005. Stuxnet targets supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems and is believed to be responsible for causing substantial damage to the nuclear program of Iran. Although neither country has openly admitted responsibility, the worm is widely understood to be a cyberweapon built jointly by the United States and Israel.
A malicious country like Iran who has repeatedly said alarming and dangerous things to Israel and the USA, giving them full warning of their intentions, needs to be believed of their threats. They do not need atomic energy to warm or cool their homes. They need atomic energy to quickly put an end to countries of the magnitude of Israel, even though Israel is not a threat to them.
Resource:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/blog/2012/sep/27/binyamin-netanyahu-israel
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/16262/iran-buclear-bomb-sprint Peter Huessy
https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20200720-israel-thought-to-be-behind-another-explosion-in-iran/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stuxnet
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/iran-leader-israel-cancerous-tumor-destroyed-70827239
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/iran-leader-israel-cancerous-tumor-destroyed-70827239
A Democratic President for the next 4 years means a change in foreign politics. A certain naivity will return in dealing with Iran.
Remember Benjamin Netanyahu's speech in September 27, 2012 at the UN warning,
""A red line must be drawn ... on Iran's efforts to enrich uranium," he said. "Basically any bomb consists of explosive material and a mechanism to ignite it. ... In the case of Iran's plans, the gunpowder is enriched uranium. The fuse is a nuclear detonator." Netanyahu said it was far more difficult for Iran to enrich uranium than to build the fuse.
He explained where where the red line on enriching uranium should be drawn. He said Iran is well into "the second stage" of enrichment. By next summer, they will move on to the final stage, he said. From there it's only a few months, maybe a few weeks, before they get enough enriched uranium for a bomb, he says.
"If these are the facts, where should a red line be drawn?" he asks.
Netanyahu took out a red marker. "Where should a red line be drawn? he says. "A red line should be drawn right here." He drew a line at the end of the "second stage," at 90% of the necessary enriched uranium for the first bomb.
It was an eye-catching, if bizarre, moment. And inevitably it drew polarised reactions."  |
| Time of threats coming from Iran's President Ahmadinejad to Israel |
"At the time of the 2015 deal, the Obama administration warned that Iran was probably a year way from having enough nuclear material to fashion a bomb.
Now, it is reported by David Albright of the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) that until recently, Iran was no more than one or two months away from a nuclear weapons capability." Unless they are delayed, September will be a very critical month.
"An explosion at a power station in Iran’s Isfahan Province yesterday has prompted speculation about its cause. There have been a number of mysterious blasts damaging Iranian infrastructure in recent weeks." Today's temperature will go up to 102 degrees F. Can we blame the weather? I think not necessarily. Age of infrastructure? Perhaps. If so, and they are working with nuclear power, it's a dangerous environment even for them.
 |
| Tehran's July 9, 2020 Explosion |
It has been reported that Iran has experienced several explosions. On July 9th of this year there was an explosion in Tehran. Israel was thought to be the cause of it. Israel has the most to lose; all their over 8 million lives; if Iran ever comes to the point of manufacturing a nuclear warhead on their long distance missiles. The first place they will aim it at will be Israel as their rantings and threats have promised. The second will be the United States of America. Israel has Mossad, the best spy network around, who may have been able to pull something off to compromise Iran's computers and such.
"Although the blast was dismissed by Iran as the result of faulty equipment and technical difficulties, that claim has been called into question, with speculation that Israel is behind this and earlier attacks."
Iran was working toward nuclear weapons manufacturing using the uranium enrichment permitted by the Obama 2015 agreement. The U.S. Senate was under the impression that this agreement would stop Iran's pursuit of nuclear weaponry. They never did understand Iran's fanatic zeal in being the first to wipe out Israel over the other Muslim countries which would put them in total leadership of everyone in the Middle East. The US only helped to give the Iranian Mullahs a cover up of being the leading manufacturer of nuclear weaponry and their goal.
It cannot... be a surprise that Iran is still sprinting toward deliverable nuclear weapons with the very uranium enrichment technology permitted by the 2015 agreement. While the U.S. Senate was told the deal would halt Iran's pursuit of nuclear weaponry, the deal only camouflaged the mullahs' ambitions to acquire it.
"The prospects ahead are possibly dark. A change in US administration may likely see a return to the JCPOA, an end to sanctions and maximum pressure, and an Iranian sense of having won a major struggle with the "Great Satan." That is not a prospect America's allies want to accept. The United States should not risk waiting, either."
Shahab missile already created
"Iran’s supreme leader has called Israel a “cancerous tumor” that “will undoubtedly be uprooted and destroyed” in an annual speech in support of the Palestinians." Only the coronavirus stepped in causing Khameni to tell people to stay home instead of demonstrate against Israel this year.
Which brings to mind, Stuxnet. Remember that computer glitch in Iran?
Stuxnet is a malicious computer worm, first uncovered in 2010, thought to have been in development since at least 2005. Stuxnet targets supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems and is believed to be responsible for causing substantial damage to the nuclear program of Iran. Although neither country has openly admitted responsibility, the worm is widely understood to be a cyberweapon built jointly by the United States and Israel.
 |
| Why does Iran need the Shahab missile? The Shahab-3 is a quad-exhaust liquid-propelled medium-range ballistic missile developed by Iran and based on the North Korean Nodong-1. The Shahab-3 has a range of 1,000 kilometres; a MRBM variant can now reach 2,000 kilometres or 1,243 miles How many miles from Iran to Israel? 1,789 kilometres or 1,112 by air. It will reach!
Worse, when the deal's provisions were to sunset this decade, Iran would have been free to acquire full nuclear capability without pretending it was not.
So they have been able to reach the point they have been aiming for, at least by the end of this decade-or even sooner by a month or so. This is 2020, quite a decade full of its own problems like COVID 19.
  |
A malicious country like Iran who has repeatedly said alarming and dangerous things to Israel and the USA, giving them full warning of their intentions, needs to be believed of their threats. They do not need atomic energy to warm or cool their homes. They need atomic energy to quickly put an end to countries of the magnitude of Israel, even though Israel is not a threat to them.
Resource:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/blog/2012/sep/27/binyamin-netanyahu-israel
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/16262/iran-buclear-bomb-sprint Peter Huessy
https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20200720-israel-thought-to-be-behind-another-explosion-in-iran/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stuxnet
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/iran-leader-israel-cancerous-tumor-destroyed-70827239
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/iran-leader-israel-cancerous-tumor-destroyed-70827239
Peter Huessy is Director of Strategic Deterrent Studies at the Mitchell Institute. He is also senior consulting analyst at Ravenna Associates, a strategic communications company.
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